What do I Mean by Catastrophic Failure?
In the
context used herein, I am defining a catastrophic failure of a process step
trial as a very large loss of product quality and/or isolated yield from which
there is no recovery. That is, by definition, there is no patch known and
reprocessing is not viable. Characteristically, the failure, when it occurs,
comes as a complete surprise. Catastrophic failures at scale usually create
serious financial losses and make project schedule extension necessary. It is
the risk we face when we ‘put too many eggs in one basket’.
How is the Size of the Scale Up linked to the Risk of Catastrophic Failure?
What is
risked when a process step is increased in scale? It is fair l widely accepted
that at first and quite normally, for any reaction step the yield is likely to
fall somewhat. More serious, but still not unexpected, is that the type and
quantity of impurities in the isolated product may change in unanticipated
ways. Worse still and getting to the catastrophic, the reaction may create a
mixture that cannot be purified enough to give an isolable physical form. Still
worse, the reactor contents may become unprocessible (can’t cut, can’t stir,
can’t cool, can’t filter can’t distil). When these latter things, for which
there has been no preparation occur, unacceptable time and money is lost. More
material must be ordered. The project milestone are missed. These possibilities
limit the size of the scale up steps in development. Consequently, as the cost
of the inputs at risk and/or the probability of catastrophic failure fall, the
size of the steps in scale up can increase.
The
approximately optimal conditions determined with laboratory equipment can still
be quite different with respect to a
number of variables from what must be done in a pilot plant. Just for
starters, some parameters such as heating, cooling, stirring and the times for
reagent additions most often cannot be physically matched after increasing
scale because of equipment limitations.
Surprises can occur as one increases the
size of operations and these lead to product with unacceptable
properties.
How does One Rank Risks?
Any risk to
workers’ physical safety must be made inconsequential. It would be immoral to
knowingly add to risks to health and safety. Even from a completely selfish
perspective, a lost time industrial accident can put a chemist manager’s
professional career at risk. Safety issues are paramount and signs of a hazard
dictate slow scaling.
A loss of
starting material is both a loss of time and of money. The budget can perhaps
be repaired but the time required for the delivery and qualification of fresh starting materials is lost forever. If
the inputs are inexpensive as a proportion of total costs and are quickly
available from multiple sources, one risk of more aggressive scaling is
reduced. It is usually the early steps in a process where inputs can be
replaced cheaply and quickly and other things being approximately equal, early
steps can be scaled up in larger increments for that reason.
Can One Estimate the Likelihood of a Particular Type of Scale-Up Failure?
Perhaps we
ought to ask instead: How well am I able to
scale down the pilot plant environment and reproduce it in my laboratory
equipment? Scaling down is the exercise of selecting the bench-scale equipment,
operating conditions, and mathematical models to successfully simulate pilot or
production scale operations in the lab.
Risk can be
reduced by testing with such equipment. If the experimentation has been
conducted using exactly the same quality for solvents, reagents, processing
aids and catalysts, the biggest sources of deviation in scale-up are removed.
If the processing times including times of addition, times for transfers, and
time for filtrations approximate those necessitated in the pilot plant, risk is
reduced. If the corrosiveness and abrasiveness of the reactants have been tested
on the reactor’s materials of construction, it reduces risk. If the procedure
is insensitive to rate over a wide range of agitation speeds then another sensitivity
has been allowed for. If the sensitivity to traces of air and moisture is known
and taken into consideration, life is simplified. If none of the reactants reagents
or coproducts in the process step are more completely swept out of the reactor at
one scale compared to the other, another frequent source of deviation is
accounted for.
There are
auguries of danger that can be divined while still in the laboratory and
addressed before moving to higher scale:
·
Addition
or removal of a gas
·
High
viscosity of the reaction medium
·
High
exothermicity
·
Need
for a low reaction temperature
·
Drown
out quenching
·
Rapid
addition rates
·
Fast
reaction relative to the rate of addition of a reacting component
·
Decomposition
on the reactor walls
·
Presence
of byproduct polymer
·
Use
of polymer reagents that may disintegrate with stirring
·
High
speed stirring
·
Asymmetric
synthesis catalysis
When one
scales up, it is advantageous if the first step is of sufficient size that all
the changes in the main discontinuous variables (reactor materials, reactor
shape, minimal stirrable volume, type of agitation, heat transfer etc.) are
introduced together. Making these changes together often can be better accommodated
by also including initially an increase in the amount of solvent in the
reactor, to give an overall dilution. Often the biggest risk impediment to
moving into the pilot plant is the cost of materials to operate at the minimum
stirrable volume in the larger reactor. Making an initial dilution that can
later we reversed, may set up a more acceptable combination of risks at a more
acceptable price.
Said another
way, it may be better to delay the optimization of the throughput, which is
very often the result of the consequence of increasing the concentration of the
reactants and reducing the amount of diluents (ie solvent) until after the transition to the pilot plant or
manufacturing equipment. This will result in a less expensive transition from
laboratory to pilot plant. It will require less of the expensive chemical to
reach the minimum stirrable volume at the start of the reaction.
Catalyst
poisoning will be treated in a separate article.